← All signals

HAL

CALLStopped out-44.1% est. P&L

Published Aug 27, 2026, 6:51 PM UTC · confidence 77/100

Why the bot fired this

Verbatim from the signal record — the same bullets posted to Discord.

Technical analysis

  • MACD bullish crossover with positive histogram
  • Supertrend bullish

Options flow

  • Strong open interest (3,995)
  • IV proxy percentile 44 - options reasonably priced relative to realized vol

News & sentiment

  • News sentiment positive (avg compound 0.29 over 10 headlines)
  • Analyst ratings skew bullish
  • Today's move (+4.0% vs prior close) confirms this call idea

Market regime

  • Market regime: SPY uptrend supports call positioning
  • Low VIX (14.71) - calmer tape

ML model

  • XGBoost model(s) estimate 57% probability of a decisive up move -> leans CALL

Position sizing

  • Moderate conviction - consider sizing smaller than your max, or skipping if you want to be selective

Exit plan

  • Consider closing by 2026-09-15 to avoid the worst of late theta decay

Summary

  • Direction: CALL (bullish conviction score +64.3/100 from multi-timeframe technicals)

Contract

Published
Aug 27, 2026, 6:51 PM UTC
Underlying at signal
$35.81
Contract
CALL · $36.0 strike · exp 2026-09-18
Est. premium (mid)
$1.04
Delta / IV
0.50 / 33%
Target / stop (underlying)
$37.93 / $34.54
Risk : reward
1.67 : 1
Closed
Aug 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Layer scores

  • Technical64/100

    Multi-timeframe trend, momentum, patterns

  • Options flow75/100

    Liquidity, IV vs. realized, unusual volume

  • Sentiment73/100

    News tone, analyst skew, earnings proximity

  • ML model58/100

    XGBoost probability of a decisive move

  • Market regime75/100

    SPY trend / VIX alignment with the trade

Confidence is a weighted blend of these five, plus an agreement bonus when the ML model and the technical read point the same way.

Estimated P&L for a closed signal is the Black-Scholes value of the contract at the underlying’s target or stop price, versus the estimated entry premium — not a broker fill. It excludes commissions, slippage, and early assignment. Not financial advice.