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▲ CALLStopped out-44.1% est. P&LPublished Aug 27, 2026, 6:51 PM UTC · confidence 77/100
Why the bot fired this
Verbatim from the signal record — the same bullets posted to Discord.
Technical analysis
- MACD bullish crossover with positive histogram
- Supertrend bullish
Options flow
- Strong open interest (3,995)
- IV proxy percentile 44 - options reasonably priced relative to realized vol
News & sentiment
- News sentiment positive (avg compound 0.29 over 10 headlines)
- Analyst ratings skew bullish
- Today's move (+4.0% vs prior close) confirms this call idea
Market regime
- Market regime: SPY uptrend supports call positioning
- Low VIX (14.71) - calmer tape
ML model
- XGBoost model(s) estimate 57% probability of a decisive up move -> leans CALL
Position sizing
- Moderate conviction - consider sizing smaller than your max, or skipping if you want to be selective
Exit plan
- Consider closing by 2026-09-15 to avoid the worst of late theta decay
Summary
- Direction: CALL (bullish conviction score +64.3/100 from multi-timeframe technicals)
Contract
- Published
- Aug 27, 2026, 6:51 PM UTC
- Underlying at signal
- $35.81
- Contract
- CALL · $36.0 strike · exp 2026-09-18
- Est. premium (mid)
- $1.04
- Delta / IV
- 0.50 / 33%
- Target / stop (underlying)
- $37.93 / $34.54
- Risk : reward
- 1.67 : 1
- Closed
- Aug 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Layer scores
- Technical64/100
Multi-timeframe trend, momentum, patterns
- Options flow75/100
Liquidity, IV vs. realized, unusual volume
- Sentiment73/100
News tone, analyst skew, earnings proximity
- ML model58/100
XGBoost probability of a decisive move
- Market regime75/100
SPY trend / VIX alignment with the trade
Signals published before 7 October 2026 came from a five-layer blend: confidence is a weighted blend of these, plus an agreement bonus when the ML model and the technical read point the same way. Newer signals come from the rules screener, where the 0–100 score ranks setups and is not a win probability.
Estimated P&L for a closed signal is the Black-Scholes value of the contract at the underlying’s target or stop price, versus the estimated entry premium — not a broker fill. It excludes commissions, slippage, and early assignment. Not financial advice.