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NOK

CALLOpen

Published Aug 27, 2026, 6:51 PM UTC · confidence 82/100

Why the bot fired this

Verbatim from the signal record — the same bullets posted to Discord.

Technical analysis

  • MACD bullish crossover with positive histogram
  • Supertrend bullish
  • Candlestick pattern: hammer

Options flow

  • Strike delta 0.42 is in the target 0.3-0.45 range
  • Strong open interest (72,476)
  • IV proxy percentile 54 - options reasonably priced relative to realized vol
  • Tight bid/ask spread (2.4%)

News & sentiment

  • Analyst ratings skew bullish

Market regime

  • Market regime: SPY uptrend supports call positioning
  • Low VIX (14.71) - calmer tape

ML model

  • XGBoost model(s) estimate 57% probability of a decisive up move -> leans CALL

Position sizing

  • Strong conviction - standard position size within your capital cap

Exit plan

  • Consider closing by 2026-09-15 to avoid the worst of late theta decay

Summary

  • Direction: CALL (bullish conviction score +73.2/100 from multi-timeframe technicals)

Contract

Published
Aug 27, 2026, 6:51 PM UTC
Underlying at signal
$10.56
Contract
CALL · $11.0 strike · exp 2026-09-18
Est. premium (mid)
$0.41
Delta / IV
0.42 / 56%
Target / stop (underlying)
$11.61 / $9.94
Risk : reward
1.67 : 1

Layer scores

  • Technical73/100

    Multi-timeframe trend, momentum, patterns

  • Options flow90/100

    Liquidity, IV vs. realized, unusual volume

  • Sentiment65/100

    News tone, analyst skew, earnings proximity

  • ML model57/100

    XGBoost probability of a decisive move

  • Market regime75/100

    SPY trend / VIX alignment with the trade

Confidence is a weighted blend of these five, plus an agreement bonus when the ML model and the technical read point the same way.

Estimated P&L for a closed signal is the Black-Scholes value of the contract at the underlying’s target or stop price, versus the estimated entry premium — not a broker fill. It excludes commissions, slippage, and early assignment. Not financial advice.