NOK

▲ CALLStopped out-77.0% est. P&L

Published Sep 18, 2026, 1:53 PM UTC · confidence 77/100

Why the bot fired this

Verbatim from the signal record — the same bullets posted to Discord.

Technical analysis

MACD bullish crossover with positive histogram
Supertrend bullish

Options flow

Strong open interest (60,126)
IV proxy percentile 54 - options reasonably priced relative to realized vol

News & sentiment

Analyst ratings skew bullish

ML model

XGBoost model(s) estimate 56% probability of a decisive up move -> leans CALL

Position sizing

Moderate conviction - consider sizing smaller than your max, or skipping if you want to be selective

Exit plan

Consider closing by 2026-10-13 to avoid the worst of late theta decay

Summary

Direction: CALL (bullish conviction score +80.2/100 from multi-timeframe technicals)

Contract

Published: Sep 18, 2026, 1:53 PM UTC
Underlying at signal: $10.72
Contract: CALL · $12.0 strike · exp 2026-10-16
Est. premium (mid): $0.29
Delta / IV: 0.28 / 60%
Target / stop (underlying): $11.77 / $10.08
Risk : reward: 2.87 : 1
Closed: Sep 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Layer scores

Technical80/100
Multi-timeframe trend, momentum, patterns
Options flow75/100
Liquidity, IV vs. realized, unusual volume
Sentiment57/100
News tone, analyst skew, earnings proximity
ML model56/100
XGBoost probability of a decisive move
Market regime50/100
SPY trend / VIX alignment with the trade

Signals published before 7 October 2026 came from a five-layer blend: confidence is a weighted blend of these, plus an agreement bonus when the ML model and the technical read point the same way. Newer signals come from the rules screener, where the 0–100 score ranks setups and is not a win probability.

Estimated P&L for a closed signal is the Black-Scholes value of the contract at the underlying’s target or stop price, versus the estimated entry premium — not a broker fill. It excludes commissions, slippage, and early assignment. Not financial advice.