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MARA

▲ CALLTarget hit+121.8% est. P&L

Published Sep 8, 2026, 1:53 PM UTC · confidence 76/100

Why the bot fired this

Verbatim from the signal record — the same bullets posted to Discord.

Technical analysis

  • MACD bullish crossover with positive histogram
  • Supertrend bullish

Options flow

  • Strike delta 0.32 is in the target 0.3-0.45 range
  • Strong open interest (777)
  • IV proxy percentile 47 - options reasonably priced relative to realized vol
  • Tight bid/ask spread (4.4%)

News & sentiment

  • Analyst ratings skew bullish

ML model

  • XGBoost model(s) estimate 67% probability of a decisive up move -> leans CALL

Position sizing

  • Moderate conviction - consider sizing smaller than your max, or skipping if you want to be selective

Exit plan

  • Consider closing by 2026-09-29 to avoid the worst of late theta decay

Summary

  • Direction: CALL (bullish conviction score +57.7/100 from multi-timeframe technicals)

Contract

Published
Sep 8, 2026, 1:53 PM UTC
Underlying at signal
$11.51
Contract
CALL · $13.0 strike · exp 2026-10-02
Est. premium (mid)
$0.45
Delta / IV
0.32 / 81%
Target / stop (underlying)
$13.30 / $10.43
Risk : reward
3.18 : 1
Closed
Sep 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Layer scores

  • Technical58/100

    Multi-timeframe trend, momentum, patterns

  • Options flow90/100

    Liquidity, IV vs. realized, unusual volume

  • Sentiment59/100

    News tone, analyst skew, earnings proximity

  • ML model67/100

    XGBoost probability of a decisive move

  • Market regime50/100

    SPY trend / VIX alignment with the trade

Signals published before 7 October 2026 came from a five-layer blend: confidence is a weighted blend of these, plus an agreement bonus when the ML model and the technical read point the same way. Newer signals come from the rules screener, where the 0–100 score ranks setups and is not a win probability.

Estimated P&L for a closed signal is the Black-Scholes value of the contract at the underlying’s target or stop price, versus the estimated entry premium — not a broker fill. It excludes commissions, slippage, and early assignment. Not financial advice.