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MARA
▲ CALLOpenPublished Aug 27, 2026, 6:51 PM UTC · confidence 87/100
Why the bot fired this
Verbatim from the signal record — the same bullets posted to Discord.
Technical analysis
- MACD bullish crossover with positive histogram
- Supertrend bullish
Options flow
- Strike delta 0.40 is in the target 0.3-0.45 range
- Strong open interest (24,750)
- IV proxy percentile 48 - options reasonably priced relative to realized vol
News & sentiment
- Analyst ratings skew bullish
- Today's move (+8.0% vs prior close) confirms this call idea
Market regime
- Market regime: SPY uptrend supports call positioning
- Low VIX (14.71) - calmer tape
ML model
- XGBoost model(s) estimate 54% probability of a decisive up move -> leans CALL
Position sizing
- Strong conviction - standard position size within your capital cap
Exit plan
- Consider closing by 2026-09-15 to avoid the worst of late theta decay
Summary
- Direction: CALL (bullish conviction score +96.4/100 from multi-timeframe technicals)
Contract
- Published
- Aug 27, 2026, 6:51 PM UTC
- Underlying at signal
- $12.11
- Contract
- CALL · $13.0 strike · exp 2026-09-18
- Est. premium (mid)
- $0.63
- Delta / IV
- 0.40 / 81%
- Target / stop (underlying)
- $14.13 / $10.91
- Risk : reward
- 1.67 : 1
Layer scores
- Technical96/100
Multi-timeframe trend, momentum, patterns
- Options flow85/100
Liquidity, IV vs. realized, unusual volume
- Sentiment66/100
News tone, analyst skew, earnings proximity
- ML model54/100
XGBoost probability of a decisive move
- Market regime75/100
SPY trend / VIX alignment with the trade
Confidence is a weighted blend of these five, plus an agreement bonus when the ML model and the technical read point the same way.
Estimated P&L for a closed signal is the Black-Scholes value of the contract at the underlying’s target or stop price, versus the estimated entry premium — not a broker fill. It excludes commissions, slippage, and early assignment. Not financial advice.